Pension Costs – a Potential Blind Spot

In a look at the balance sheet, pension costs can be overlooked or misjudged. It can turn out to be a very major expense that can derail a company or make it non-competitive. While more companies are getting out of pension programs, one has to have their radar up when looking at a company with pensions.

A number of things can happen to move pension costs in the wrong direction and turn a company into a very large under-funded situation:

1. People stay with the company for a longer period of time.

2. People live longer.

3. Pension investments don’t perform as they had been expected to.

4. Companies may not fund pensions as much as they should when finances are tight.

I am not a pension expert, but probably neither are most people. I suggest if you run into this situation, get a good understanding of what you are getting into.

1. How over or under funded is the plan? What is the trend over the past few years?

2. What is the split between retired people and current employees?

3. What has been the history of contributions? What changes have taken place and why?

4. How has the investment performance been? How does this compare to future assumptions?

5. What has to happen to get back whole if under-funded? What could happen to go from being fully funded to falling behind?

I was asked a question about what role pensions should play in capital budgeting decisions that a company with pension plans has to face- the accounting (FAS 87) expense, the employer contribution or some other metrics? My gut reaction is to go with the cash flow impact (most likely the employer contribution). However, I have to defer to others in this area. I noticed on Amazon doing a Goggle search that there is a book devoted entirely just to this topic- "The Impact of FAS 87 on Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management."

So whether looking from the outside in or facing it internally, even though it is fuzzy and as much art as science, there is too much at stake. Know what you are getting into and make sure you are covered for the future cash flow impact.

 

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